Daily consensus GMP movement (₹) recorded across market sources
✨ AI Analysis & Prediction
🔒 Final Reconciled Estimate
Locked post-listing with actual debut performance
+11.8%
predicted listing gain
🟡Action Signal: Selective / Long-term
Defrail Technologies displays an established operational footprint with expanding revenue streams (33.5% CAGR) and a defensible value proposition.
💪 Strengths
Demonstrated operational revenue trajectory with resilient top-line growth (33.5% CAGR).
Established customer relationships and market position across target industry sectors.
Sound operational capital returns with Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) at 27.6%.
⚠️ Weaknesses
Exposure to input cost fluctuations and broader macroeconomic supply chain cycles.
Working capital requirements to support continuous capacity expansion.
Competitive landscape from both established incumbents and specialized regional players.
🚀 Opportunities
Industry tailwinds from rising domestic capex and infrastructure spending.
Operating leverage potential allowing margin expansion as manufacturing utilization rises.
Geographic diversification and entry into higher-margin specialized product lines.
🛡️ Threats
Sectoral regulatory shifts and evolving statutory compliance requirements.
Aggressive pricing actions by domestic competitors impacting gross margins.
Broader market equity volatility and liquidity fluctuations.
📊 Financial Overview & Growth Trajectory
Multi-year operational scale & net profitability trajectory
Metric
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue (₹ Cr)
Rs 33.62 Cr
Rs 29.30 Cr
Rs 61.77 Cr
Rs 80.04 Cr
Net Profit / PAT (₹ Cr)
Rs 0.88 Cr
Rs 1.33 Cr
Rs 3.52 Cr
Rs 4.01 Cr
EBITDA / Op. Profit (₹ Cr)
Rs 2.15 Cr
Rs 2.56 Cr
Rs 5.54 Cr
Rs 7.53 Cr
Borrowings (₹ Cr)
Rs 3.69 Cr
Rs 6.21 Cr
Rs 10.05 Cr
Rs 6.59 Cr
Total Assets (₹ Cr)
Rs 11.58 Cr
Rs 15.22 Cr
Rs 31.77 Cr
Rs 49.01 Cr
ROE %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
ROCE %
27.60%
27.60%
27.60%
27.60%
Debt / Equity
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Company P/E
12.2x
Industry P/E
14.0x
Debt/Equity
0.28
⚖️ Valuation Benchmark Range
🟢 Attractively Priced vs Industry Peers
Industry 14.0x
IPO 12.2x
0x (Deep Value)30x (High Multiple)
📋 Live Subscription Status
QIB
0.00x
NII
0.00x
Retail
0.00x
Total
0.00x
🎯 Retail Allotment Probability100% Odds
100% (Guaranteed 1 lot for all valid applications)
SEBI Rule: Under SEBI lottery allotment rules, applying for multiple lots under Retail does NOT increase your lottery odds. All valid retail applicants have identical 1-lot odds per PAN.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. IPO investments are subject to market risks. AI-generated analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate. Grey Market Premium (GMP) is unofficial and highly speculative. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and read the DRHP/RHP carefully before making investment decisions.
Get tonight's screener hits at 7 PM
Match counts from every screener and IPO updates, every trading day.