Daily consensus GMP movement (₹) recorded across market sources
✨ AI Analysis & Prediction
🔒 Final Reconciled Estimate
Locked post-listing with actual debut performance
-2.9%
predicted listing gain
🔴Action Signal: High Risk / Avoid
Fractal Analytics displays an established operational footprint with expanding revenue streams (18.5% CAGR) and a defensible value proposition.
💪 Strengths
Demonstrated operational revenue trajectory with resilient top-line growth (18.5% CAGR).
Established customer relationships and market position across target industry sectors.
Sound operational capital returns with Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) at 12.6%.
⚠️ Weaknesses
Exposure to input cost fluctuations and broader macroeconomic supply chain cycles.
Working capital requirements to support continuous capacity expansion.
Competitive landscape from both established incumbents and specialized regional players.
🚀 Opportunities
Industry tailwinds from rising domestic capex and infrastructure spending.
Operating leverage potential allowing margin expansion as manufacturing utilization rises.
Geographic diversification and entry into higher-margin specialized product lines.
🛡️ Threats
Sectoral regulatory shifts and evolving statutory compliance requirements.
Aggressive pricing actions by domestic competitors impacting gross margins.
Broader market equity volatility and liquidity fluctuations.
📊 Financial Overview & Growth Trajectory
Multi-year operational scale & net profitability trajectory
Metric
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue (₹ Cr)
Rs 1,985.00 Cr
Rs 2,196.00 Cr
Rs 2,765.00 Cr
Rs 3,300.00 Cr
Net Profit / PAT (₹ Cr)
Rs 194.00 Cr
Rs -55.00 Cr
Rs 221.00 Cr
Rs 287.00 Cr
EBITDA / Op. Profit (₹ Cr)
Rs -116.00 Cr
Rs 57.00 Cr
Rs 320.00 Cr
Rs 438.00 Cr
Borrowings (₹ Cr)
Rs 326.00 Cr
Rs 364.00 Cr
Rs 430.00 Cr
Rs 418.00 Cr
Total Assets (₹ Cr)
Rs 2,209.00 Cr
Rs 2,344.00 Cr
Rs 2,802.00 Cr
Rs 4,338.00 Cr
ROE %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
ROCE %
12.60%
12.60%
12.60%
12.60%
Debt / Equity
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Company P/E
38.8x
Industry P/E
44.6x
Debt/Equity
0.13
⚖️ Valuation Benchmark Range
🟢 Attractively Priced vs Industry Peers
Industry 44.6x
IPO 38.8x
0x (Deep Value)60x (High Multiple)
📋 Live Subscription Status
QIB
4.18x
NII
1.18x
Retail
1.03x
Total
2.66x
🎯 Retail Allotment Probability97.1% Odds
1 in 1.0 chance (~97.1% probability per PAN)
SEBI Rule: Under SEBI lottery allotment rules, applying for multiple lots under Retail does NOT increase your lottery odds. All valid retail applicants have identical 1-lot odds per PAN.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. IPO investments are subject to market risks. AI-generated analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate. Grey Market Premium (GMP) is unofficial and highly speculative. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and read the DRHP/RHP carefully before making investment decisions.
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