Daily consensus GMP movement (₹) recorded across market sources
✨ AI Analysis & Prediction
🔒 Final Reconciled Estimate
Locked post-listing with actual debut performance
+9.1%
predicted listing gain
🟡Action Signal: Selective / Long-term
NTPC Green Energy displays an established operational footprint with expanding revenue streams (156.2% CAGR) and a defensible value proposition.
💪 Strengths
Demonstrated operational revenue trajectory with resilient top-line growth (156.2% CAGR).
Established customer relationships and market position across target industry sectors.
Sound operational capital returns with Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) at 3.56%.
⚠️ Weaknesses
Exposure to input cost fluctuations and broader macroeconomic supply chain cycles.
Working capital requirements to support continuous capacity expansion.
Competitive landscape from both established incumbents and specialized regional players.
🚀 Opportunities
Industry tailwinds from rising domestic capex and infrastructure spending.
Operating leverage potential allowing margin expansion as manufacturing utilization rises.
Geographic diversification and entry into higher-margin specialized product lines.
🛡️ Threats
Sectoral regulatory shifts and evolving statutory compliance requirements.
Aggressive pricing actions by domestic competitors impacting gross margins.
Broader market equity volatility and liquidity fluctuations.
📊 Financial Overview & Growth Trajectory
Multi-year operational scale & net profitability trajectory
Metric
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue (₹ Cr)
Rs 170.00 Cr
Rs 1,963.00 Cr
Rs 2,210.00 Cr
Rs 2,858.00 Cr
Net Profit / PAT (₹ Cr)
Rs 171.00 Cr
Rs 343.00 Cr
Rs 474.00 Cr
Rs 521.00 Cr
EBITDA / Op. Profit (₹ Cr)
Rs 152.00 Cr
Rs 1,745.00 Cr
Rs 1,920.00 Cr
Rs 2,461.00 Cr
Borrowings (₹ Cr)
Rs 6,137.00 Cr
Rs 13,856.00 Cr
Rs 19,441.00 Cr
Rs 31,716.00 Cr
Total Assets (₹ Cr)
Rs 18,431.00 Cr
Rs 27,207.00 Cr
Rs 45,421.00 Cr
Rs 60,382.00 Cr
ROE %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
ROCE %
3.56%
3.56%
3.56%
3.56%
Debt / Equity
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Company P/E
125.0x
Industry P/E
143.8x
Debt/Equity
1.67
⚖️ Valuation Benchmark Range
🟢 Attractively Priced vs Industry Peers
Industry 143.8x
IPO 125.0x
0x (Deep Value)194x (High Multiple)
📋 Live Subscription Status
QIB
3.32x
NII
1.29x
Retail
3.44x
Total
2.42x
🎯 Retail Allotment Probability29.1% Odds
1 in 3.4 chance (~29.1% probability per PAN)
SEBI Rule: Under SEBI lottery allotment rules, applying for multiple lots under Retail does NOT increase your lottery odds. All valid retail applicants have identical 1-lot odds per PAN.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. IPO investments are subject to market risks. AI-generated analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate. Grey Market Premium (GMP) is unofficial and highly speculative. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and read the DRHP/RHP carefully before making investment decisions.
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