Daily consensus GMP movement (₹) recorded across market sources
✨ AI Analysis & Prediction
🔒 Final Reconciled Estimate
Locked post-listing with actual debut performance
-26.8%
predicted listing gain
🔴Action Signal: High Risk / Avoid
Shadowfax Technologies displays an established operational footprint with expanding revenue streams (43.7% CAGR) and a defensible value proposition.
💪 Strengths
Demonstrated operational revenue trajectory with resilient top-line growth (43.7% CAGR).
Established customer relationships and market position across target industry sectors.
Sound operational capital returns with Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) at 10.0%.
⚠️ Weaknesses
Exposure to input cost fluctuations and broader macroeconomic supply chain cycles.
Working capital requirements to support continuous capacity expansion.
Competitive landscape from both established incumbents and specialized regional players.
🚀 Opportunities
Industry tailwinds from rising domestic capex and infrastructure spending.
Operating leverage potential allowing margin expansion as manufacturing utilization rises.
Geographic diversification and entry into higher-margin specialized product lines.
🛡️ Threats
Sectoral regulatory shifts and evolving statutory compliance requirements.
Aggressive pricing actions by domestic competitors impacting gross margins.
Broader market equity volatility and liquidity fluctuations.
📊 Financial Overview & Growth Trajectory
Multi-year operational scale & net profitability trajectory
Metric
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue (₹ Cr)
Rs 1,415.00 Cr
Rs 1,885.00 Cr
Rs 2,485.00 Cr
Rs 4,202.00 Cr
Net Profit / PAT (₹ Cr)
Rs -143.00 Cr
Rs -12.00 Cr
Rs 6.00 Cr
Rs 112.00 Cr
EBITDA / Op. Profit (₹ Cr)
Rs -107.00 Cr
Rs 19.00 Cr
Rs 63.00 Cr
Rs 221.00 Cr
Borrowings (₹ Cr)
Rs 72.00 Cr
Rs 289.00 Cr
Rs 393.00 Cr
Rs 247.00 Cr
Total Assets (₹ Cr)
Rs 443.00 Cr
Rs 786.00 Cr
Rs 1,259.00 Cr
Rs 2,834.00 Cr
ROE %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
ROCE %
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
10.00%
Debt / Equity
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Company P/E
100.0x
Industry P/E
115.0x
Debt/Equity
0.14
⚖️ Valuation Benchmark Range
🟢 Attractively Priced vs Industry Peers
Industry 115.0x
IPO 100.0x
0x (Deep Value)155x (High Multiple)
📋 Live Subscription Status
QIB
3.81x
NII
1.26x
Retail
2.31x
Total
2.72x
🎯 Retail Allotment Probability43.3% Odds
1 in 2.3 chance (~43.3% probability per PAN)
SEBI Rule: Under SEBI lottery allotment rules, applying for multiple lots under Retail does NOT increase your lottery odds. All valid retail applicants have identical 1-lot odds per PAN.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. IPO investments are subject to market risks. AI-generated analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate. Grey Market Premium (GMP) is unofficial and highly speculative. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and read the DRHP/RHP carefully before making investment decisions.
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