Daily consensus GMP movement (₹) recorded across market sources
✨ AI Analysis & Prediction
🔒 Final Reconciled Estimate
Locked post-listing with actual debut performance
+35.3%
predicted listing gain
🟢Action Signal: Apply for Listing Gain
Transrail Lighting displays an established operational footprint with expanding revenue streams (29.7% CAGR) and a defensible value proposition.
💪 Strengths
Demonstrated operational revenue trajectory with resilient top-line growth (29.7% CAGR).
Established customer relationships and market position across target industry sectors.
Sound operational capital returns with Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) at 33.6%.
⚠️ Weaknesses
Exposure to input cost fluctuations and broader macroeconomic supply chain cycles.
Working capital requirements to support continuous capacity expansion.
Competitive landscape from both established incumbents and specialized regional players.
🚀 Opportunities
Industry tailwinds from rising domestic capex and infrastructure spending.
Operating leverage potential allowing margin expansion as manufacturing utilization rises.
Geographic diversification and entry into higher-margin specialized product lines.
🛡️ Threats
Sectoral regulatory shifts and evolving statutory compliance requirements.
Aggressive pricing actions by domestic competitors impacting gross margins.
Broader market equity volatility and liquidity fluctuations.
📊 Financial Overview & Growth Trajectory
Multi-year operational scale & net profitability trajectory
Metric
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue (₹ Cr)
Rs 3,152.00 Cr
Rs 4,077.00 Cr
Rs 5,308.00 Cr
Rs 6,880.00 Cr
Net Profit / PAT (₹ Cr)
Rs 108.00 Cr
Rs 233.00 Cr
Rs 329.00 Cr
Rs 404.00 Cr
EBITDA / Op. Profit (₹ Cr)
Rs 364.00 Cr
Rs 559.00 Cr
Rs 776.00 Cr
Rs 941.00 Cr
Borrowings (₹ Cr)
Rs 621.00 Cr
Rs 667.00 Cr
Rs 661.00 Cr
Rs 678.00 Cr
Total Assets (₹ Cr)
Rs 3,445.00 Cr
Rs 4,621.00 Cr
Rs 6,233.00 Cr
Rs 7,354.00 Cr
ROE %
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
ROCE %
33.60%
33.60%
33.60%
33.60%
Debt / Equity
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Company P/E
15.5x
Industry P/E
17.8x
Debt/Equity
0.30
⚖️ Valuation Benchmark Range
🟢 Attractively Priced vs Industry Peers
Industry 17.8x
IPO 15.5x
0x (Deep Value)30x (High Multiple)
📋 Live Subscription Status
QIB
201.06x
NII
77.86x
Retail
22.07x
Total
80.80x
🎯 Retail Allotment Probability4.5% Odds
1 in 22.1 chance (~4.5% probability per PAN)
SEBI Rule: Under SEBI lottery allotment rules, applying for multiple lots under Retail does NOT increase your lottery odds. All valid retail applicants have identical 1-lot odds per PAN.
Disclaimer: The information provided on this page is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. IPO investments are subject to market risks. AI-generated analysis is based on publicly available data and may not be accurate. Grey Market Premium (GMP) is unofficial and highly speculative. Always consult a qualified financial advisor and read the DRHP/RHP carefully before making investment decisions.
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